The situation in Syria is deteriorating as logic dictates after a year of violence without any known control. The last reports published in the international media talk about what looks a chaotic civil war with neighbor against neighbor, religious sect against religious sect, and the government with the Army against most of them. The problem is that to know what is happening there you have to be there. No reliable News are coming out except de telling of the refugees who make their way out of the borders to Turkey or Lebanon. (Pour Lebanon, a land full of refugees, in a very difficult political situation, that can literally broke if there is a flow of Syrians and a lack of international help to deal with the new refugees). The stories of the refugees are partial, all referred to the north-west side of the Country and depict a typical situation of civil war with cities and villages divided and the Alawite minority of the president Bashar Al Ashad against the Sunni majority in the country. But also between different Sunni groups, politically or not organized.
Violence calls violence and that’s what’s going on in Syria with the pleasant participation of the president who has the greatest force against his own people and has taken the worst decisions: cover al with a blank of silence (no foreign press, no free communications either inside the country) and let the violence grow for a long time, all of this with the cooperation of Russia and China, this time, on the Security Council of the UN.
And days ago, the UN sent his ex-Secretary General Kofi Annan with a plan of peace that was a Cease Fire that didn’t contemplate the step down from power of the president Bashar al Assad.
What a different approach in comparison with Egypt when all the big capitals of the world were calling for the step down of Hosni Mubarak during and after the demonstrations of al Tahir Place. And what was the result? In Egypt Mubarak was ousted by the military who put him in thirty years ago, and the situation is still confuse and dangerous because of this same military chiefs that don’t want to change too much the control of the country and in the pools the Muslim Brotherhood has demonstrated his greatest force in the options of the people. That’s the real problem there and it was before the fall of Mubarak and before the killing of Al Sadat. There is no matter who is at the top in the presidential palace but in the military barracks.
In Syria, the president and his military are doing whatever they want (it seems according to what the refugee and the few journalists who could send news from inside the country) and there is no request to step down, but a lot of calls to prudence and think in the consequences for the “Region”. Well, de consequences in the “Region” are the same in all the problematic cases of the so-called “arab spring” that was a spring in some countries and in others is something much more complicated: the growing instability of a very dangerous place of the world. There are a several Countries with their non liked leaders ousted or killed but not political solution after the outcry or intervention of the “International Community” blessed By the UN (Libya and Egypt) and this Syrian president, approached like a nest of wasps by the same UN despite is causing a very dangerous situation in the “Region” and, it seems a bloodshed into the country.
I have written about this problem several times and the conclusion is always the same. This poor “arab spring” is a victim of two realities: the divisions in the Arab League and most important and definitely the interests of the five countries with veto in the Security Council of the UN that still running the world as if the WWII had ended yesterday and not almost 60 yeas ago.